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Live Prediction Markets — Live Probabilities & Trading
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· 489 markets
24h Volume
$56.4M
Total Liquidity
$127.3M
Active Markets
489
Top Category
◉ Politics
◉
Politics
$34.3M
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
100%
$13.2M vol · $11.4M liq
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
100%
$2.1M vol · $5.1M liq
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
4%
$1.5M vol · $1.1M liq
Trump out as President by April 30?
2%
$1.4M vol · $625K liq
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
<1%
$1.4M vol · $289K liq
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17%
$751K vol · $412K liq
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3%
$713K vol · $362K liq
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
36%
$589K vol · $273K liq
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%
$579K vol · $365K liq
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
59%
$547K vol · $189K liq
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
<1%
$533K vol · $359K liq
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
$521K vol · $889K liq
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
18%
$519K vol · $649K liq
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
5%
$508K vol · $650K liq
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8%
$500K vol · $479K liq
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
<1%
$447K vol · $797K liq
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
$444K vol · $1.5M liq
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
7%
$438K vol · $190K liq
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
<1%
$370K vol · $237K liq
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
34%
$361K vol · $286K liq
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10%
$359K vol · $536K liq
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
1%
$348K vol · $273K liq
Trump out as President before 2027?
16%
$314K vol · $467K liq
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
24%
$305K vol · $805K liq
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
<1%
$303K vol · $1.2M liq
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
34%
$278K vol · $290K liq
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
$275K vol · $1.3M liq
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
4%
$275K vol · $132K liq
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
14%
$231K vol · $1.6M liq
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
<1%
$230K vol · $1.2M liq
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
<1%
$229K vol · $135K liq
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
13%
$223K vol · $185K liq
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
<1%
$222K vol · $1.4M liq
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
19%
$219K vol · $200K liq
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
17%
$218K vol · $909K liq
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
47%
$215K vol · $168K liq
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
<1%
$215K vol · $127K liq
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
<1%
$212K vol · $1.3M liq
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
<1%
$211K vol · $535K liq
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
67%
$200K vol · $254K liq
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
<1%
$197K vol · $37K liq
Netanyahu out by April 30?
1%
$194K vol · $248K liq
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
<1%
$189K vol · $118K liq
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
<1%
$182K vol · $27K liq
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
$182K vol · $315K liq
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
<1%
$178K vol · $1.4M liq
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
13%
$177K vol · $83K liq
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
<1%
$167K vol · $1.0M liq
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
14%
$165K vol · $141K liq
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
<1%
$164K vol · $934K liq
⚽
Sports
$13.4M
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
19%
$857K vol · $152K liq
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
<1%
$804K vol · $707K liq
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
<1%
$731K vol · $637K liq
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11%
$726K vol · $1.4M liq
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3%
$646K vol · $760K liq
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
<1%
$557K vol · $553K liq
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14%
$544K vol · $781K liq
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
$512K vol · $258K liq
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
4%
$492K vol · $320K liq
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16%
$460K vol · $946K liq
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$362K vol · $1.8M liq
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2%
$345K vol · $383K liq
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
<1%
$297K vol · $559K liq
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
<1%
$289K vol · $186K liq
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Harry Wendelken
100%
$283K vol · $484K liq
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9%
$282K vol · $919K liq
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
5%
$270K vol · $70K liq
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1%
$260K vol · $726K liq
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9%
$210K vol · $956K liq
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$191K vol · $1.8M liq
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
<1%
$186K vol · $1.4M liq
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
<1%
$182K vol · $514K liq
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians
55%
$174K vol · $18K liq
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
<1%
$166K vol · $1.2M liq
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
$165K vol · $368K liq
Rockets vs. Warriors
62%
$164K vol · $157K liq
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$162K vol · $2.5M liq
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
$159K vol · $1.8M liq
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
12%
$149K vol · $11K liq
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$147K vol · $2.3M liq
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$144K vol · $1.8M liq
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
<1%
$144K vol · $698K liq
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$142K vol · $2.0M liq
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
<1%
$140K vol · $479K liq
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$138K vol · $2.4M liq
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
<1%
$137K vol · $659K liq
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$135K vol · $1.9M liq
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
93%
$135K vol · $50K liq
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$132K vol · $2.8M liq
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$132K vol · $2.6M liq
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
5%
$129K vol · $76K liq
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
<1%
$128K vol · $438K liq
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$125K vol · $2.5M liq
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
7%
$125K vol · $709K liq
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$125K vol · $2.3M liq
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$125K vol · $1.8M liq
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
94%
$125K vol · $41K liq
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$122K vol · $2.6M liq
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1%
$121K vol · $2.4M liq
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants
59%
$120K vol · $157K liq
🏛
Fed
$2.7M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
98%
$454K vol · $515K liq
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
<1%
$444K vol · $927K liq
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1%
$374K vol · $490K liq
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
<1%
$360K vol · $2.6M liq
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
<1%
$269K vol · $368K liq
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
7%
$120K vol · $91K liq
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
<1%
$101K vol · $90K liq
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
<1%
$95K vol · $236K liq
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
<1%
$95K vol · $153K liq
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
91%
$52K vol · $179K liq
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
<1%
$48K vol · $26K liq
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
<1%
$37K vol · $171K liq
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
<1%
$36K vol · $68K liq
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2%
$30K vol · $189K liq
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
<1%
$29K vol · $95K liq
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
<1%
$29K vol · $71K liq
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
<1%
$27K vol · $235K liq
Fed rate hike in 2026?
19%
$14K vol · $43K liq
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
36%
$14K vol · $72K liq
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
<1%
$14K vol · $83K liq
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2%
$11K vol · $113K liq
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
<1%
$10K vol · $72K liq
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
<1%
$10K vol · $108K liq
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
<1%
$9K vol · $96K liq
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
81%
$9K vol · $22K liq
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
2%
$7K vol · $37K liq
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
4%
$7K vol · $57K liq
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?
1%
$6K vol · $92K liq
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
<1%
$6K vol · $96K liq
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
17%
$5K vol · $89K liq
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2%
$3K vol · $88K liq
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
24%
$3K vol · $83K liq
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
<1%
$3K vol · $24K liq
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
10%
$3K vol · $33K liq
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?
2%
$2K vol · $47K liq
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
14%
$2K vol · $31K liq
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
<1%
$2K vol · $50K liq
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
9%
$1K vol · $104K liq
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
2%
$1K vol · $30K liq
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
<1%
$857 vol · $175K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
34%
$833 vol · $12K liq
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
1%
$792 vol · $42K liq
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
1%
$748 vol · $33K liq
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
1%
$676 vol · $23K liq
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
86%
$667 vol · $18K liq
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
<1%
$626 vol · $8K liq
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
65%
$565 vol · $8K liq
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
22%
$561 vol · $22K liq
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
2%
$555 vol · $23K liq
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
64%
$525 vol · $44K liq
✦
Culture
$2.6M
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$275K vol · $533K liq
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
<1%
$192K vol · $63K liq
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$180K vol · $735K liq
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$132K vol · $554K liq
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$129K vol · $783K liq
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$126K vol · $476K liq
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$114K vol · $628K liq
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$113K vol · $698K liq
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$103K vol · $645K liq
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$102K vol · $608K liq
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$99K vol · $717K liq
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$98K vol · $670K liq
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$97K vol · $615K liq
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$76K vol · $354K liq
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?
63%
$75K vol · $14K liq
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
37%
$56K vol · $13K liq
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
<1%
$56K vol · $76K liq
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?
<1%
$50K vol · $60K liq
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$43K vol · $209K liq
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?
<1%
$41K vol · $43K liq
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
3%
$35K vol · $172K liq
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$33K vol · $115K liq
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$29K vol · $194K liq
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
3%
$29K vol · $151K liq
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$28K vol · $319K liq
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?
<1%
$28K vol · $100K liq
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$23K vol · $233K liq
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
39%
$19K vol · $496K liq
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
11%
$18K vol · $286K liq
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than $17m?
<1%
$17K vol · $9K liq
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
10%
$16K vol · $30K liq
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$15K vol · $313K liq
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
7%
$15K vol · $188K liq
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?
99%
$15K vol · $10K liq
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
3%
$14K vol · $119K liq
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$14K vol · $157K liq
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $15m and $16m?
9%
$13K vol · $5K liq
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
2%
$13K vol · $160K liq
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $16m and $17m?
<1%
$12K vol · $8K liq
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$11K vol · $202K liq
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$11K vol · $141K liq
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
7%
$10K vol · $144K liq
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
10%
$10K vol · $121K liq
Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?
81%
$9K vol · $9K liq
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
<1%
$9K vol · $253K liq
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
1%
$9K vol · $141K liq
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?
<1%
$8K vol · $7K liq
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?
<1%
$8K vol · $3K liq
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?
11%
$8K vol · $3K liq
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
41%
$7K vol · $42K liq
₿
Crypto
$2.5M
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
4%
$261K vol · $141K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
<1%
$186K vol · $1.2M liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
<1%
$149K vol · $280K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
9%
$122K vol · $141K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?
<1%
$108K vol · $54K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?
<1%
$89K vol · $286K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?
<1%
$80K vol · $56K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 6?
<1%
$75K vol · $42K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
2%
$72K vol · $149K liq
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
<1%
$69K vol · $277K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
3%
$67K vol · $177K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
1%
$62K vol · $167K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
82%
$61K vol · $89K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?
2%
$58K vol · $48K liq
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?
19%
$55K vol · $58K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?
<1%
$52K vol · $113K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
<1%
$49K vol · $194K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
43%
$49K vol · $80K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?
1%
$46K vol · $48K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?
6%
$45K vol · $46K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?
<1%
$43K vol · $61K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
<1%
$41K vol · $275K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
11%
$41K vol · $125K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 6?
<1%
$37K vol · $35K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 6?
<1%
$36K vol · $37K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 6?
100%
$34K vol · $25K liq
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
49%
$34K vol · $72K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
19%
$33K vol · $127K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 6?
95%
$33K vol · $33K liq
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
<1%
$32K vol · $142K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?
72%
$29K vol · $28K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?
<1%
$28K vol · $173K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 6?
100%
$27K vol · $24K liq
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on April 6?
<1%
$26K vol · $14K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?
<1%
$25K vol · $45K liq
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?
2%
$22K vol · $81K liq
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?
3%
$21K vol · $82K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?
22%
$21K vol · $27K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 6?
99%
$20K vol · $33K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?
4%
$20K vol · $26K liq
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?
6%
$19K vol · $89K liq
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?
70%
$19K vol · $83K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?
9%
$19K vol · $25K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?
<1%
$18K vol · $47K liq
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?
<1%
$17K vol · $23K liq
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 30-April 5?
<1%
$16K vol · $56K liq
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
8%
$16K vol · $81K liq
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
8%
$16K vol · $14K liq
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?
1%
$16K vol · $105K liq
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
17%
$14K vol · $48K liq
◌
Macro
$388K
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
<1%
$68K vol · $167K liq
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
<1%
$68K vol · $157K liq
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
97%
$52K vol · $122K liq
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
<1%
$45K vol · $172K liq
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
<1%
$30K vol · $145K liq
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
<1%
$28K vol · $65K liq
US recession by end of 2026?
29%
$22K vol · $71K liq
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1%
$17K vol · $51K liq
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?
13%
$9K vol · $15K liq
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?
3%
$7K vol · $14K liq
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
<1%
$4K vol · $30K liq
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
95%
$4K vol · $16K liq
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
5%
$3K vol · $21K liq
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
<1%
$3K vol · $41K liq
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
76%
$3K vol · $11K liq
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
2%
$3K vol · $36K liq
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?
2%
$2K vol · $22K liq
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
95%
$2K vol · $21K liq
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?
<1%
$2K vol · $18K liq
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
23%
$2K vol · $12K liq
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?
<1%
$2K vol · $14K liq
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
<1%
$2K vol · $47K liq
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
99%
$2K vol · $19K liq
Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?
26%
$2K vol · $11K liq
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?
4%
$1K vol · $16K liq
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
<1%
$1K vol · $38K liq
Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?
<1%
$1K vol · $13K liq
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
<1%
$1K vol · $38K liq
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
100%
$1K vol · $49K liq
Will gas hit (High) $4.15 by April 30?
98%
$1K vol · $12K liq
◎
AI
$188K
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
16%
$29K vol · $66K liq
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2%
$17K vol · $34K liq
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
<1%
$16K vol · $105K liq
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
<1%
$15K vol · $47K liq
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?
<1%
$7K vol · $3K liq
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
<1%
$7K vol · $83K liq
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
73%
$6K vol · $9K liq
DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?
2%
$5K vol · $19K liq
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
34%
$5K vol · $10K liq
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
4%
$5K vol · $20K liq
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
72%
$4K vol · $71K liq
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
93%
$4K vol · $29K liq
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
36%
$4K vol · $6K liq
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3%
$4K vol · $53K liq
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2%
$3K vol · $47K liq
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1%
$3K vol · $77K liq
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
<1%
$3K vol · $71K liq
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
26%
$3K vol · $6K liq
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
24%
$3K vol · $7K liq
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
<1%
$3K vol · $78K liq
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1%
$2K vol · $84K liq
ChatGPT Outage by April 24?
59%
$2K vol · $5K liq
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April?
4%
$2K vol · $4K liq
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)?
99%
$2K vol · $8K liq
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1%
$2K vol · $85K liq
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
84%
$2K vol · $38K liq
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
25%
$2K vol · $8K liq
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
9%
$2K vol · $57K liq
Anthropic CEO arrested?
3%
$2K vol · $22K liq
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
12%
$2K vol · $55K liq
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
72%
$2K vol · $38K liq
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
12%
$2K vol · $79K liq
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
23%
$2K vol · $50K liq
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
8%
$1K vol · $5K liq
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
6%
$1K vol · $46K liq
ChatGPT Outage by April 17?
52%
$1K vol · $8K liq
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
11%
$1K vol · $12K liq
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
2%
$1K vol · $14K liq
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?
53%
$1K vol · $7K liq
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
87%
$1K vol · $9K liq
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
36%
$1K vol · $5K liq
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
24%
$956 vol · $11K liq
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
84%
$944 vol · $5K liq
Will gpt-5.4-high have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)?
<1%
$887 vol · $8K liq
Will gemini-3.1-pro-preview have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)?
<1%
$884 vol · $10K liq
Will gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210 have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)?
<1%
$882 vol · $8K liq
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
67%
$875 vol · $37K liq
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
25%
$864 vol · $16K liq
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
<1%
$864 vol · $45K liq
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
16%
$861 vol · $10K liq
☁
Weather
$108K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 6?
<1%
$8K vol · $10K liq
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?
50%
$6K vol · $7K liq
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C or below on April 6?
<1%
$6K vol · $8K liq
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on April 6?
<1%
$6K vol · $5K liq
Will March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
<1%
$5K vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on April 7?
<1%
$5K vol · $5K liq
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 6?
<1%
$3K vol · $5K liq
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 6?
<1%
$3K vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 63°F or below on April 6?
<1%
$3K vol · $10K liq
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 6?
<1%
$3K vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on April 6?
<1%
$3K vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 6?
<1%
$3K vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 6?
<1%
$3K vol · $5K liq
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on April 6?
<1%
$2K vol · $9K liq
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on April 6?
<1%
$2K vol · $15K liq
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 6?
<1%
$2K vol · $7K liq
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on April 6?
<1%
$2K vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 6?
<1%
$2K vol · $10K liq
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 7?
<1%
$2K vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 6?
1%
$2K vol · $5K liq
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 41°F or below on April 6?
<1%
$2K vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 6?
<1%
$2K vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or below on April 6?
<1%
$2K vol · $14K liq
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on April 6?
<1%
$2K vol · $7K liq
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on April 8?
<1%
$2K vol · $5K liq
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 7?
<1%
$1K vol · $6K liq
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
<1%
$1K vol · $8K liq
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on April 6?
<1%
$1K vol · $7K liq
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?
<1%
$1K vol · $7K liq
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on April 7?
<1%
$1K vol · $5K liq
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
49%
$1K vol · $22K liq
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C or below on April 6?
<1%
$1K vol · $7K liq
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 7?
<1%
$1K vol · $8K liq
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 8°C on April 8?
<1%
$1K vol · $5K liq
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on April 8?
<1%
$1K vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on April 8?
<1%
$1K vol · $6K liq
Will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
<1%
$1K vol · $7K liq
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 7?
<1%
$1K vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on April 6?
<1%
$1K vol · $8K liq
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on April 6?
<1%
$1K vol · $8K liq
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on April 8?
<1%
$987 vol · $5K liq
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 6?
<1%
$980 vol · $5K liq
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on April 6?
<1%
$976 vol · $5K liq
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 7?
<1%
$962 vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on April 6?
<1%
$949 vol · $7K liq
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on April 7?
1%
$941 vol · $5K liq
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on April 6?
<1%
$924 vol · $7K liq
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on April 6?
<1%
$894 vol · $6K liq
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on April 7?
<1%
$823 vol · $5K liq
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
87%
$697 vol · $10K liq
📈
Equities
$66K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
14%
$8K vol · $20K liq
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
95%
$8K vol · $28K liq
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
70%
$6K vol · $12K liq
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
<1%
$3K vol · $29K liq
Will Meta (META) close at $590-$600 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
11%
$2K vol · $5K liq
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
48%
$2K vol · $9K liq
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
2%
$2K vol · $59K liq
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
93%
$2K vol · $18K liq
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165-$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
12%
$2K vol · $5K liq
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
3%
$2K vol · $10K liq
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
<1%
$1K vol · $26K liq
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
<1%
$1K vol · $30K liq
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
96%
$1K vol · $22K liq
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $350-$355 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
11%
$1K vol · $5K liq
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
6%
$1K vol · $22K liq
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
1%
$1K vol · $13K liq
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
89%
$1K vol · $10K liq
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
3%
$1K vol · $6K liq
Will Meta (META) close at $580-$590 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
18%
$1K vol · $6K liq
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $305-$310 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
9%
$1K vol · $5K liq
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
25%
$1K vol · $8K liq
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
95%
$1K vol · $15K liq
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
50%
$1K vol · $10K liq
Will Tesla dip to $248 in April?
4%
$1K vol · $7K liq
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
7%
$953 vol · $9K liq
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $365-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
11%
$903 vol · $5K liq
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
92%
$860 vol · $17K liq
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
2%
$732 vol · $25K liq
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
44%
$695 vol · $6K liq
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $0-$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
<1%
$695 vol · $6K liq
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
12%
$687 vol · $6K liq
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
66%
$665 vol · $7K liq
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
5%
$664 vol · $17K liq
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.25T and 1.50T?
8%
$623 vol · $5K liq
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?
1%
$549 vol · $92K liq
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
16%
$544 vol · $14K liq
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
52%
$519 vol · $6K liq
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?
19%
$509 vol · $5K liq
◍
Finance
$11K
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?
8%
$2K vol · $14K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?
56%
$1K vol · $18K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in April?
12%
$937 vol · $11K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?
8%
$909 vol · $11K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?
26%
$895 vol · $9K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?
72%
$762 vol · $10K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in April?
3%
$394 vol · $13K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?
5%
$321 vol · $14K liq
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?
1%
$312 vol · $5K liq
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?
10%
$968 vol · $1K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?
1%
$297 vol · $15K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?
20%
$245 vol · $9K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?
9%
$220 vol · $14K liq
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?
17%
$203 vol · $2K liq
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.60% (HIGH) in April?
38%
$161 vol · $2K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?
35%
$153 vol · $10K liq
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?
5%
$147 vol · $13K liq
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?
19%
$130 vol · $12K liq
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
2%
$129 vol · $9K liq
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?
74%
$112 vol · $2K liq
⌁
Technology
$398
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
6%
$398 vol · $17K liq
NF
New
$175
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
90%
$175 vol · $6K liq
Bitcoin above 67,600 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 4.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 25.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Toumani Camara: Points O/U 15.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 2.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 6.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Ethereum above 1,995 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Ethereum above 2,010 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 5.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Bitcoin above 68,800 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $0 liq
Bitcoin above 68,000 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Ethereum above 2,115 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Bitcoin above 67,200 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Ethereum above 2,100 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Bitcoin above 64,800 on April 5, 6AM ET?
51%
$0 vol · $0 liq
Bitcoin above 65,600 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Ethereum above 1,965 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Ethereum above 2,085 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5
51%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Bitcoin above 66,000 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
51%
$0 vol · $7K liq
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
50%
$0 vol · $7K liq
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
50%
$0 vol · $7K liq
Game Handicap: RRQ.T (-1.5) vs Team Flash (+1.5)
50%
$0 vol · $0 liq
Ethereum above 2,070 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Ethereum above 2,025 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Ethereum above 2,055 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Ethereum above 1,980 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Bitcoin above 66,400 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
Bitcoin above 65,200 on April 5, 6AM ET?
50%
$0 vol · $1 liq
BNB Up or Down - April 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
50%
$0 vol · $6K liq
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
50%
$0 vol · $7K liq
PMT
⌕
VI
?
4.7%
Markets
Analysis
●
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Trump out as President by April 30? — Current market probability and scenario analysis
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Trump out as President by April 30? — Current market probability and scenario analysis
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? — Current market probability and scenario analysis
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? — Current market probability and scenario analysis
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? — Current market probability and scenario analysis
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? — Current market probability and scenario analysis
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? — Current market probability and scenario analysis
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? — Current market probability and scenario analysis
US forces enter Iran by December 31? — Current market probability and scenario analysis
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? — Current market probability and scenario analysis
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Current market probability and scenario analysis