Both Ivory Coast and Ghana are trading at 0% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup on Polymarket, indicating that market participants assign minimal confidence to either nation's championship prospects. These markets are asking a straightforward question: will either of these West African teams claim the global tournament trophy in 2026? The markets are directly related in that they both depend on the same tournament outcome—if Ivory Coast wins, Ghana cannot, and vice versa. While the markets address separate teams, they exist within a shared competitive ecosystem where only one winner emerges. The 0% price on both markets reveals important information about trader conviction and tournament expectations. At this price level, markets are pricing in the notion that neither team is seriously contending for the title. This reflects the practical reality that both nations face significant hurdles: qualifying for the tournament itself (not a given), assembling competitive rosters, navigating a group stage, and then advancing through knockout rounds against stronger, better-resourced nations. The zero-confidence pricing doesn't mean these outcomes are impossible—it means the implied probability is vanishingly small compared to favorites like France, England, Brazil, and Argentina. Traders are expressing near-complete skepticism about either team's championship pathway. The two markets can move independently or in tandem depending on how tournament narratives develop. If Ivory Coast qualifies and performs exceptionally well, its market odds might rise, while Ghana's could remain flat or even decline if it fails to qualify. Conversely, both could stay near zero if neither team advances past early rounds. However, there's a subtle correlation: if one team's odds rise sharply, it might suggest broader African football momentum that could theoretically benefit the other. In practice, though, Ivory Coast and Ghana operate in separate qualifying regions, and their relative strength, squad depth, and managerial quality drive independent assessments. Key factors traders should monitor include qualifying results (both teams must first earn their tournament berth), squad composition and player availability, coaching stability, recent tournament performance, and draw placement once the bracket is set. Historical context matters: Ivory Coast reached the 2010 World Cup semifinals, while Ghana's best World Cup finish was the quarterfinals in 2010. Current squad strength, injury reports, and pre-tournament friendlies will signal real conviction changes. Additionally, late-stage tournament dynamics—an upset run by either team—could suddenly push probabilities upward. For now, the 0% pricing reflects the baseline expectation: these nations are underdogs in a field of 32 teams, and markets are pricing in the low-conviction scenario that neither will lift the trophy.