These two markets represent extreme underdog scenarios across completely different domains—sports and electoral politics—yet both are currently priced at 0%, suggesting traders see near-zero probability of either outcome occurring. The Ivory Coast World Cup market asks whether the Ivorian national team can win the 2026 tournament, an outcome with no precedent in the nation's football history. The Aldo Rebelo market focuses on Brazilian electoral politics: whether the politician can win Brazil's 2026 presidential election. These operate in entirely separate contexts—one governed by athletic performance on the pitch, the other by voter preference and political dynamics. The fact that both markets rest at 0% YES is revealing. When traders price an outcome at 0%, they express maximum conviction that the event will not occur. For Ivory Coast, this reflects the collective assessment that the team lacks the talent depth and historical success profile of World Cup contenders. For Rebelo, it suggests traders see his political viability as essentially nonexistent—perhaps due to name recognition gaps, lack of polling momentum, or entrenched competition from other candidates. However, 0% prices warrant skepticism. Perfect certainty is rare in prediction markets; extreme lows often reflect sparse trading liquidity rather than genuine impossibility. Historical precedent suggests outcomes with nonzero real-world probability typically see at least small bids eventually. These markets are essentially independent in their outcomes. An Ivorian World Cup victory would not meaningfully impact Brazilian electoral results, nor vice versa. They occur on different timescales (World Cup in June-July versus Brazil's October election), driven by completely separate actors and conditions. Shared macroeconomic shocks—severe recession affecting Brazil's electorate while depressing Ivory Coast's squad investment—could theoretically create second-order correlation, but such effects remain speculative. For the Ivory Coast market, monitor team performance in qualifying matches and pre-tournament friendlies. Unexpected wins or strong displays could gradually shift sentiment. Follow player development, injuries to key squad members, and tournament draw positioning. For the Rebelo market, track Brazilian political polling and media coverage. Early primary-equivalent contests, endorsement patterns, and any controversies involving Rebelo matter significantly. Broader economic conditions and approval ratings of sitting politicians also drive electoral expectations. Recognize that 0% pricing often invites contrarian traders—early positions at basement prices could see outsized returns if either candidate or team generates unexpected positive momentum.