Iran's nuclear program has been a focal point of international negotiations for decades. These three prediction markets focus on a specific near-term scenario: whether Iran will agree to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile before different deadline dates in 2026. The markets are grouped together because they all center on the same underlying event—an Iranian agreement to reduce its uranium enrichment capacity—but with progressively later cutoff dates: May 31, June 30, and December 31. By comparing probabilities across these three timelines, you can identify market expectations about the pace of nuclear diplomacy and understand critical inflection points. If the May 31 market trades significantly lower than the December 31 market, it reflects consensus that negotiations will take extended time. Conversely, higher probabilities on earlier deadlines suggest markets expect rapid diplomatic progress. Watch for movements triggered by international statements from Iran, the US, the European Union, and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Technical developments—such as IAEA inspections, sanctions announcements, or shifts in political leadership—can shift probabilities meaningfully. These markets serve as a barometer for geopolitical risk and international relations dynamics affecting energy markets, sanctions regimes, and Middle Eastern stability.