The possibility of a permanent US-Iran peace deal represents one of 2026's most significant geopolitical questions. This collection groups three related prediction markets tracking the same diplomatic outcome across progressively later deadlines—April 30, May 31, and June 30—providing a window into how market participants and observers expect the negotiation timeline to unfold. When reviewing these linked markets, the comparison between deadlines reveals important nuances in collective sentiment. Markets closer to their settlement dates capture the most recent information and directly reflect the latest diplomatic developments and official statements, while those with longer time horizons incorporate broader uncertainty about how negotiations might evolve over weeks or months. A noticeably higher probability on the April 30 deadline suggests the market expects imminent momentum toward agreement, whereas elevated odds on May or June suggest skepticism about near-term resolution or expectations of protracted negotiations. The percentages you observe represent the aggregate assessment of thousands of participants worldwide evaluating the likelihood of permanent peace based on available information. As official statements, diplomatic reports, sanctions developments, or other geopolitical signals emerge, these odds shift in real time, functioning as a live measure of public and expert sentiment regarding both the current state of US-Iran relations and the realistic pathway to durable peace between these nations.