The Strait of Hormuz stands as one of the world's most strategically important maritime passages, with roughly one-third of global seaborne oil trade transiting through its waters daily. In recent months, the Trump administration implemented a blockade of this critical waterway, a move with far-reaching implications for energy markets, global shipping, and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. These four prediction markets track a specific question: when will President Trump announce that this blockade has been lifted? Rather than a single binary outcome, this event-aggregator clusters four related markets with announcement deadlines spanning May 2026—May 8, May 15, May 22, and May 31. This structure allows traders and observers to map the probability distribution across time, revealing what the market collectively believes about the timeline for resolution. By comparing the prices across these markets, you can discern the implied probability of announcement on or before each date. For instance, if the May 8 market trades higher than the May 15 market, it suggests traders see a material chance of an announcement in that narrow window. Conversely, a sharp jump in probability between May 22 and May 31 might indicate clustering around a specific event or policy milestone. These prediction markets serve as real-time probability gauges informed by geopolitical analysis, supply-chain disruption fears, and diplomatic developments. Whether you're monitoring energy security, international relations, or simply tracking market sentiment on major geopolitical events, the prices below offer a transparent snapshot of collective foresight across these linked outcomes.