Jerome Powell's position as Federal Reserve Chair sits at the center of crucial discussions about monetary policy direction and economic governance in the United States. This page aggregates three interconnected prediction markets that track different scenarios for his potential departure, each tied to a specific deadline between May and June 2026. By viewing these markets together, you can discern how market participants distribute their expectations across overlapping timeframes—a perspective that becomes harder to grasp when examining individual markets in isolation. The prices reflect the probability that a departure will occur by each respective date. Markets displaying higher prices indicate stronger collective confidence in a near-term departure, while lower prices express skepticism about the scenario within that window. Comparing the May 16 market to the June 30 market reveals the additional probability assigned to the extended timeframe; this spread often concentrates market expectations and highlights where uncertainty begins to dominate. Prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of numerous participants who have committed real capital, creating a consensus forecast that complements traditional analysis from economists, policy experts, and financial media. As developments unfold—from Federal Reserve policy decisions to legislative or political developments—prices shift, offering a live, market-driven pulse on sentiment. Whether tracking how prediction markets evaluate Fed leadership stability, comparing probabilities across different horizons, or understanding how collective markets perceive a pivotal question for the U.S. financial system, this bundled view provides a transparent, quantitative lens on an event with far-reaching implications.