Buenos Aires Temperature April 27 | Polymarket Trade

On April 27, 2026, Buenos Aires faces a crucial weather threshold. Meteorological forecasts have identified a range of possible high temperatures for the day, and prediction markets have aggregated four related markets to capture the full spectrum of likely outcomes. These markets track discrete temperature points: whether the high will remain at or below 8°C, reach 9°C, peak at 10°C, or climb to 11°C. By grouping these markets together, this event aggregation reveals not just individual outcome probabilities, but the entire probability distribution across the temperature range—a more complete picture of what diverse market participants believe the weather will deliver. Reading prices across this market bundle offers genuine insight into probability assessment. Markets operate as continuous information aggregators; prices reflect the cumulative judgment of all participants at any moment. If one temperature outcome commands significantly higher prices than others, that signals strong collective confidence in that outcome. If prices remain tightly clustered, it indicates genuine uncertainty in the forecast. Price movements over time reveal how new information—updated meteorological models, satellite data, official forecasts—shifts expectations. For observers interested in weather prediction, probability estimation, or the mechanics of how markets price uncertain events, this temperature-focused event bundle provides transparent, continuously-updated odds that make implicit expectations explicit. These markets remain active in real time, updating as conditions evolve and forecasts change. Each price point represents the live consensus probability that a specific temperature will occur, allowing anyone following the markets to see exactly how confidence is distributed across the possible temperature range for Buenos Aires on April 27.