On April 27, Austin is expected to experience changing weather conditions, and prediction markets are now aggregating forecasts across three distinct temperature scenarios. This event brings together three interconnected markets—each examining a different range for the day's high temperature—to provide a comprehensive view of how market participants are assessing the likelihood of various weather outcomes. The first market focuses on whether Austin's high will fall between 76 and 77°F, the second examines the probability of a cooler day with temperatures at 73°F or below, and the third considers a warmer scenario of 80 to 81°F. Together, these markets create a spectrum of possible outcomes for the day's maximum temperature. The grouping of these markets is particularly useful because they represent overlapping yet distinct views of the same weather event. While the three ranges are adjacent or partially overlapping, each market isolates a specific temperature band, allowing market participants to express precise forecasts about which scenario they believe is most likely. By observing the prices across all three markets, you can gain insight into the distribution of expectations—whether participants are clustering around a particular range or spreading their assessments across multiple possibilities. When reviewing the market prices below, pay close attention to how they compare relative to one another. If prices for the 76–77°F range are high while prices for the cooler and warmer scenarios are low, this signals broad agreement that mid-range temperatures are expected. Conversely, if prices are relatively balanced across all three markets, it suggests significant uncertainty about the exact outcome and a wider range of plausible scenarios. Keep in mind that temperature forecasts depend on many variables including wind patterns, cloud cover, atmospheric pressure, and seasonal conditions. The prices you see below reflect the collective assessment of market participants incorporating the latest meteorological data and official weather forecasts.