Seoul Low Temperature May 17 Forecast | Polymarket Trade

Seoul's weather on May 17 is the focus of four linked prediction markets tracking the city's minimum temperature across distinct thresholds: 15°C, 17°C, 19°C, and 21°C. These markets are grouped together because they all measure the same meteorological event—the day's lowest temperature—while capturing expectations at different points along the possible range. This structure allows observers to see where consensus expectations cluster and how conviction shifts across temperature bands. Historically, Seoul's minimum temperatures in mid-May typically range between 10°C and 20°C, making this set of thresholds particularly relevant to the season. When examining the prices shown below, note that each market's valuation reflects aggregated expectations from prediction market participants who have analyzed historical climate patterns, current weather models, and atmospheric conditions shaping the forecast. Markets tend to price highest where outcomes are most likely, while less probable scenarios show lower valuations. A significant price difference between adjacent thresholds can signal where market participants expect a natural boundary—for instance, if the 17°C market prices much higher than the 15°C market, it suggests broad consensus that temperatures will likely stay above 15°C. Conversely, if the 19°C and 21°C markets show similar prices, it indicates uncertainty about whether conditions will trend warmer. By reviewing all four thresholds together rather than in isolation, you gain a more complete probabilistic picture of how prediction market participants view Seoul's weather trajectory for May 17. Polymarket Trade aggregates these real-time forecasts, making them available for comparison and analysis.