Trump UFO Declassification Dates 2026 | Polymarket Trade

In March 2025, President Trump signed an executive order directing the federal government to review and release previously classified materials related to unidentified anomalies and extraterrestrial encounters. The exact timeline for these declassifications remains uncertain, with various stakeholders speculating about the government's ability to organize and publicly release sensitive intelligence within different timeframes. The three markets grouped here all address the same underlying event—the Trump administration's declassification of new UFO-related files—but with distinct deadline dates: May 31, June 15, and June 30, 2026. This structure allows observers to track how market participants assess the probability of declassification across progressively wider time windows. When reading these markets, pay close attention to how prices diverge between deadlines. If the May 31 market trades at 45% and the June 15 market at 62%, the gap reflects the market's estimated probability of declassification occurring specifically between June 1 and June 15. Key factors influencing these markets include the government's historical patterns in releasing classified materials, political considerations around timing, bureaucratic delays in document review, and potential legal challenges from intelligence agencies seeking to protect sources and methods. As new information emerges—whether through official statements, leaked reports, or legislative action—market prices will shift accordingly, providing a real-time consensus forecast on the timeline for disclosure.