Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 82% NO. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$426.32 (+426%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability19.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +1.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowMature market (104d)
- Price moved +1.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 18.3% from 19.0% baseline — 3% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$30K
Current Probability19%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.5% → 1.5%
632 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets3
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=5