Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 36% YES. Momentum is rising. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$177.78 (+178%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability36.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +2.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price jumped +2.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$9K
Liquidity$3K
Current Probability36%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 8.4% → 4.3%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert