Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 102 days
- Price moved +0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$116K
Liquidity$3K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.4% → 1.9%
262 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert