Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 64%. Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$56.25 (+56%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability64.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -2.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (93d)
- Price dropped -2.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$20K
Liquidity$91K
Current Probability64%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela's leader by year-end holds 65% consensus, with markets betting she either consolidates power or emerges as the regime's public face as Maduro faces pressure from Trump's Venezuela stance. Ongoing regime stability and internal power dynamics will determine whether she gains or loses influence.