Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 0.5% from 0.3% baseline — 31% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$37K
Liquidity$14K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in5mo
Low VolatilityVol: 9.2% → 4.6%
175 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets3
AI Brief
A Just Russia (SRZP) holds zero odds to gain the most parliamentary seats in September's Russian election, reflecting market consensus that Putin's United Russia or other Kremlin-aligned parties will dominate. The fringe liquidity ($23K) and zero probability suggest traders view this as politically impossible in Russia's managed election environment.
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=20.2