Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$25K
Liquidity$52K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in5mo
Low VolatilityVol: 6.7% → 3.6%
175 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Rodina, a fringe nationalist party in Russia, is priced at zero percent probability of winning the most parliamentary seats in the September 2026 election. The market reflects that Rodina has never competed seriously for majority control and lacks the Kremlin backing that dominates Russian politics. The key catalyst is the actual election on September 30, 2026.