Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? is priced at a 99% consensus against, reflecting near-certainty that this specific rate target will not materialize. The Fed would need to engineer a precise policy path between rate cuts or holds to land on exactly 1.75%, an atypical round number that suggests the market views this outcome as an edge-case scenario. Nearest catalyst: FOMC meetings throughout 2026, with each policy decision either moving toward or away from this specific threshold.