About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 85%.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$17.65 (+18%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability85.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.5%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice stable for 69 days
- Price moved -0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$197
Liquidity$16K
Current Probability85%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.8% → 1.2%
70 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets2
AI Brief
Fed pauses in Mar–Apr–Jun hit 85% yes, notably lower than the Jan–Mar–Apr parlay (98%), indicating June introduces meaningful rate-cut risk. The 15% no tail reflects trader uncertainty about whether the Fed will stay on hold through June or begin cutting after spring pauses.