About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 82% NO. Momentum is falling. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$455.56 (+456%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability18.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CRetail pressurePrice stable for 72 days
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$1K
Current Probability18%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.7% → 1.6%
263 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert