About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 69%. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$44.93 (+45%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability69.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 68 days
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$9K
Current Probability69%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.4% → 1.0%
632 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
OpenAI going public above $800B is strongly favored at 75%, reflecting market conviction in its AI dominance and long valuation runway into late 2027 as the company matures toward IPO readiness.