About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 32% YES. Momentum is strong up. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$212.50 (+213%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability32.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong upVolume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$5K
Current Probability32%
Resolves in20mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.9% → 2.4%
628 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert