About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 65 days
- Price moved -0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Liquidity shift: Liquidity inflow 8% — now $25K
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$505
Liquidity$26K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets9
AI Brief
Kraken essentially cannot become 2026's highest-valued IPO at 1% odds, with traders favoring larger tech or crypto platforms instead. The near-zero pricing reflects competitive disadvantage versus anticipated competitors.
Anomalies
WarningLiqz=3.2