About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 46% YES.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$117.39 (+117%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability46.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.5%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice stable for 60 days
- Price moved +0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$58K
Current Probability46%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.6% → 1.5%
268 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move
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AI Brief
Bitcoin reaching $90,000 by December 31, 2026 is nearly 50-50 at 44% odds, indicating this is within the realistic bull-case range and traders genuinely debate its feasibility over nine months. This is the market's most-contested price target on the list.