Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 89% NO.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$733.33 (+733%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability12.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice stable for 49 days
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$70K
Current Probability12%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
633 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets7
AI Brief
Predict.fun's $800M FDV target draws only 12% conviction, pricing significant skepticism around the higher valuation threshold compared to the $600M gate. The 21-month tail and rising FDV bar combine to suppress conviction despite the same eventual launch catalyst.