About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 84% NO.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$488.24 (+488%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability17.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.5%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice stable for 48 days
- Price moved +0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$10K
Liquidity$58K
Current Probability17%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.9% → 2.1%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert