
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 79% NO. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$354.55 (+355%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability22.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -3.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice stable for 50 days
- Price dropped -3.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$12K
Current Probability22%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.9% → 1.7%
80 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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