Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 62%. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$61.29 (+61%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability62.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -4.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 52 days
- Price dropped -4.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$11K
Liquidity$34K
Current Probability62%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.7% → 1.6%
263 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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