Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 39% YES. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$156.41 (+156%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability39.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -3.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 48 days
- Price dropped -3.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$28K
Current Probability39%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.7% → 1.2%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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