Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 45% YES. Momentum is strong down.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$122.22 (+122%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability45.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -10.0%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CQuietPrice forming
- Price dropped -10.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: steady
- Quiet order flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$19K
Current Probability45%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 6.6% → 3.5%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move