About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (91% NO). Momentum is rising. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1011.11 (+1011%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability9.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +4.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 44 days
- Price jumped +4.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 9.1% from 9.5% baseline — 4% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$13K
Current Probability9%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.4% → 1.8%
630 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=3.9