About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 36% YES. Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If $1,000 wins+$177.78 (+178%)
If $3,000 wins-$100.00
Break-even probability36.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -7.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -7.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$7K
Current Probability36%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 5.3% → 3.0%
268 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
A 41-59 split on whether Ethereum hits $1,000 or $3,000 first (by Jan 1 2027) reflects a 9-month volatility bet with slight lean toward $3,000. The longer timeframe and high uncertainty create the wide liquidity ($9.2K). Resolution catalyst: ETH volatility through 2026.