Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +2.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveOutflowPrice forming
- Price jumped +2.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 4.5% from 2.2% baseline — 110% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$17K
Liquidity$83K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in3mo
Low VolatilityVol: 35.8% → 15.2%
111 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets4
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=4.3