Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 86% NO. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$566.67 (+567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability15.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +2.0%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +2.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$166K
Liquidity$66K
Current Probability15%
Resolves in7d
Active tradingVol: 9.5% → 5.9%
7d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
Trump's Iran announcement by April 15 sits at 15% YES with only 10 days until deadline, up +1.0% in 24 hours, reflecting emerging belief in either military drawdown or negotiated settlement as the White House recalibrates regional policy. Thin liquidity ($54K) signals limited conviction.