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Outcome uncertain — market split near 41% YES.
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For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
- Price dropped -2.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Price move: Price moved down to 40.5% from 41.3% baseline — 2% shift
- Mixed capital flow
SpaceX's IPO valuation remains uncertain with traders skeptical that it will price between $1.5T-$2.0T, as the 59% NO probability suggests expectations for either a higher or lower IPO valuation or delayed/cancelled plans. The $1.5B in 24-hour volume indicates moderate interest, but the 41% YES price reflects divided sentiment on whether the company lands in this middle valuation range. Key catalysts include SpaceX announcements on IPO timing and any shifts in investor demand for mega-cap tech IPOs.