Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -3.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -3.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$8K
Current Probability1%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 7.4% → 3.9%
80 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert