About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 76% NO. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$316.67 (+317%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability24.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 10 days
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 24.4% from 25.0% baseline — 2% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$11K
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability24%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.9% → 1.3%
80 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=4.7