About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 71%. Momentum is strong down. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$40.85 (+41%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability71.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -24.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price dropped -24.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 80.3% from 86.9% baseline — 8% shift
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$4K
Current Probability71%
Resolves in5mo
Low VolatilityVol: 6.3% → 3.4%
175 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets2
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=6.7