About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 38% YES. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$163.16 (+163%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability38.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price moved +0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$798
Current Probability38%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 14.3% → 6.6%
262 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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