Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
NewActiveQuality B
About this market
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.
Source: official resolution criteria from Polymarket. Always verify on the source page before trading.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (95% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1566.67 (+1567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability6.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: steadyLiquidity: B
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$355
Liquidity$20K
Current Probability6%
Resolves in8mo