Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 74% NO. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$284.62 (+285%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability26.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.6%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (279d)
- Price moved -0.6pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$645K
Liquidity$483K
Current Probability26%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.6% → 1.6%
943 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert