Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 73% NO. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$270.37 (+270%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability27.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveOutflowMature market (280d)
- Price moved +0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$638K
Liquidity$473K
Current Probability27%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.7% → 1.6%
943 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert