Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (278d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$26K
Liquidity$638K
Current Probability1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets40
AI Brief
Wes Moore's 1% odds for 2028 Democratic nomination align with his profile as a lower-profile contender with nearly three years before primary voting. The Maryland governor lacks the national presence of leading candidates, explaining the minimal market probability. Calendar extends to November 2028 with extended uncertainty ahead.