Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 278 days
- Price moved -0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$549K
Liquidity$621K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.5% → 1.9%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets40
AI Brief
Andy Beshear's 2% odds reflect some national recognition from recent media visibility but deep market doubt about a southern Democrat's primary competitiveness in a crowded field. He remains far less known nationally than coastal competitors with similar experience profiles. Catalyst: 2027 primary season and nationwide polling launches.