Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: AInformed flowMature market (278d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$17K
Liquidity$455K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets40
AI Brief
J.B. Pritzker's 2% probability for the 2028 Democratic nomination reflects his long-shot status despite Illinois governorship and strong base state organization. The high liquidity ($453K) relative to low YES prices suggests hedging demand and speculative positioning on a distant event. The Democratic primary process unfolds over 2028, with early states in January-March serving as key catalysts.