Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (278d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$95K
Liquidity$1.5M
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets39
AI Brief
New York state senator Zohran Mamdani receives 1% probability, reflecting virtually zero national recognition, no fundraising network, and minimal executive track record outside state-level politics. He lacks any infrastructure for a competitive primary bid. Catalyst: unexpected national visibility surge or major legislative achievement by late 2026.