Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$50K
Liquidity$1.2M
Current Probability1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 8.8% → 4.4%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
John Fetterman is priced at 1% for 2028 Democratic nomination despite his Senate seat, indicating the market sees zero path to national viability. This is a structural rejection of his candidacy rather than event-driven pricing.