Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active. Trading is very active today.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (278d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Liquidity shift: Liquidity outflow 3% — now $1.4M
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2.2M
Liquidity$1.4M
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets40
AI Brief
Beto O'Rourke's failed 2020 presidential bid and subsequent retreat to Texas politics have eroded his viability to just 1%, suggesting his moment has passed despite previous national prominence. He lacks current momentum, fundraising traction, or visible path to a competitive candidacy. Catalyst: any 2027 announcement or public positioning.
Anomalies
CriticalLiqz=5.3