Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.2%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +0.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$36K
Liquidity$297K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 4.8% → 2.8%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets28
AI Brief
Josh Shapiro remains a rising Democratic star at 2% odds, but the probability reflects his extreme outsider status in a 2028 general that is already being contested by frontrunners. The modest 24h uptick suggests traders see marginal possibility but not a credible primary path.