Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 273 days
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$187K
Liquidity$430K
Current Probability1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.2% → 1.8%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets27
AI Brief
Andy Beshear, the Democratic governor of Kentucky, is given just 1% odds to win the 2028 presidency, reflecting the difficulty of winning the White House from a swing state gubernatorial role. The market has seen minimal movement, suggesting little appetite for him as a national candidate. Key catalysts would be a strong 2026 midterm performance and polling strength ahead of the 2028 primary schedule.